Daily Summary, June 12-13

## 📰 Key Results of June 12–13, 2026 (Full Version)

### 🌍 Geopolitics & Macroeconomics

#### 🇮🇷 Iran – USA: From “Guerrilla Phase” to a Fragile Truce

On June 12, US President Donald Trump announced that the US and Iran had reached a deal to end the war – citing progress in negotiations. Trump stated that “an excellent agreement” had been reached and could be signed as early as the weekend. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi confirmed that a memorandum of understanding was indeed close.

However, on June 13, the picture became less clear. Iran’s Foreign Ministry denied that a deal had been reached, calling the reports “speculation.” Iran’s Supreme National Security Council has not yet made a final decision. Israel found itself a bystander: Axios reported that any Trump-Iran deal would be a blow to Netanyahu. Moreover, on June 13, US forces shot down several Iranian drones heading toward the Strait of Hormuz.

> Analysis: Markets are pricing in reduced risk of immediate escalation, but high volatility remains until papers are signed. “Gunboat diplomacy” is the new reality.

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### 🛢 Oil & Energy

#### Price on a rollercoaster: from $98 to $85 in two days

The oil market saw two wild sessions. On June 12, Brent spiked to $98 on news of imminent US strikes on Iran, then collapsed to ~$85 after Trump’s peace announcement. By the close of June 13, Brent consolidated around $90, WTI near $86.

> Analysis: A geopolitical premium of $5–7 per barrel will persist until a deal is actually signed. If talks collapse, oil could easily return to $100.

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### 🇷🇺 Russia: Ruble, Markets & Budget Rates

#### Ruble strengthens – not everyone is happy

The Moscow Exchange index held above 2,500 points. The yuan’s exchange rate ended the week near 10.6 rubles, while the official dollar rate from the Central Bank was 71.9 rubles. A forecast from Aksakov: by year-end the dollar could cost 80 rubles.

The reason for ruble strength is expensive oil. The next Central Bank meeting on the key rate is June 19 – markets expect a cut to 14%.

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### 🚀 Space, AI & Corporations

#### 🆕 🧱 SpaceX held the largest IPO in history with a capitalization above $1.7 trillion

On June 12, SpaceX went public. After trading began, the company’s market cap exceeded $2 trillion. As a result, Elon Musk became the world’s first dollar trillionaire – his net worth surpassed $1 trillion.

> Analysis: The SpaceX IPO drew some liquidity away from crypto markets, but capital is gradually returning. SpaceX’s success is a positive risk signal.

#### 🆕 🤖 OpenAI gives free API access to developers

OpenAI now offers free API access – in exchange for using your data to train its models. Standard industry practice, but it intensifies debates about privacy and AI monopolies.

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### ₿ Blockchain & Cryptocurrencies

#### 📈 Bitcoin: Survived the storm and bottomed?

June 12: $2.5 billion in BTC/ETH options expired. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of $85.9 million – the first positive day after 13 consecutive days of outflows totaling $4.4 billion.

June 13: BTC briefly fell below $60,000 – the first time since November 2024 – following news that Michael Saylor’s Strategy sold 32 BTC (~$2.5 million) to pay dividends. The sale amount is negligible compared to the firm’s ~845,000 BTC, but markets saw it as symbolic shift from “never sell.”

#### 🆕 🤣 Michael Saylor explains his sale of 32 BTC

“I told you never to sell your Bitcoin, but I never said the company wouldn’t sell its Bitcoin.” – Saylor masterfully dances around his own memes.

#### 🆕 🏦 Standard Chartered: “Winter is over”

Analyst Geoffrey Kendrick stated that Bitcoin bottomed around $59,000. Forecast: BTC at $100,000 and ETH at $4,000 by year-end.

#### 🆕 ❄️ Tether freezes 72,000,000 USDT

A wallet linked to large transfers and Monero purchases was blocked. Tether continues to cooperate with regulators, freezing suspicious funds at law enforcement request.                                                                               🆕 📉 ICO/IDO/IEO market nearly dead

In Q2 2026, only $58 million was raised via public sales – an 85% drop from the previous quarter. Investors tired of scams have shifted to ETFs and established coins.

#### 🆕 🪙 Binance becomes the top platform for pre-IPO trading

Binance accounted for $1.68 billion of the total $2.94 billion in pre-IPO contract trading. Crypto exchanges are gradually replacing traditional brokers in this segment.

#### 🆕 🪙 Circle mints 1,000,000,000 USDC on Solana in one day

Stablecoin issuance on high-performance blockchains is accelerating. Solana confirms its status as the leading network for USDC settlements.

#### 🆕 ⛩ Japan’s Metaplanet buys Siiibo Securities for $13 million

The deal gives the company a license and infrastructure to launch BTC bonds, security tokens, and other Bitcoin-related products. Japan is becoming a hub for crypto institutionalization.

#### 🆕 ⚖️ Sam Bankman-Fried loses appeal

The former head of the fraudulent FTX exchange lost his appeal against a 25-year prison sentence for fraud. No chance of early release.

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### 📊 Crypto Market Summary (as of close June 13)

| Asset | Price | 24h Change |

|——-|——-|————-|

| BTC | $63,800 | +0.9% |

| ETH | $1,668 | +1.03% |

| XRP | $1.10–1.30 (range) | flat |

The Fear & Greed Index recovered from 19 to comfortable levels.

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### 😂 Oddities of the day

– Saylor sells 32 BTC and immediately jokes about “I” vs. “the company.”

– MEV bot – after two mistakes last week (167 ETH and 42 ETH sent to random users), no new blunders so far.

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### ⚠️ Negatives (short- to medium-term)

– Iran denies reaching a deal – the memorandum could collapse at any moment.

– US forces shot down Iranian drones on June 13 – tensions persist.

– The ICO/IDO market is dead – venture capital is moving into more conservative instruments.

– Tether froze $72 million USDT – a reminder of stablecoin centralized control.

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### 🏛 Architectural Conclusion

– Receptive intelligence registered: geopolitical risks have decreased – but not disappeared.

– Coordinating intelligence (Trump, Araghchi, mediators) managed to bring the parties to the table – but there is no consensus yet inside Iran.

– Structuring intelligence is working ahead: Binance is capturing pre-IPO, Metaplanet is building BTC bonds, Circle is minting billions on Solana.

– Executive intelligence has begun acting: Strategy sold (even symbolically), oil fell, markets bounced, SpaceX delivered a trillion-dollar case study.

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### 📅 What’s next?

– June 15: NVIDIA RTX 60-series GPU announcement.

– June 19: Russian Central Bank key rate meeting (expected cut to 14%).

– June 25: SEC decision on Ethereum-ETF options.

– Expected in coming days: US-Iran memorandum to be signed remotely – or negotiations collapse.

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Key advice: Taking profits on the bounce to $63,000 is reasonable. The Middle East conflict has calmed but not ended. A true Bitcoin reversal will only be confirmed with a firm close above $68,000 and sustained ETF inflows. Act on facts, not hopes.