Daily Summary, June 9

## 📰 Results of June 9–10, 2026

### 🌍 Geopolitics and Macroeconomics

#### 🇮🇷 Iran — USA/Israel: From ceasefire to new strikes
On June 9, a sharp geopolitical shift occurred: after US President Donald Trump called on both sides to «stop shooting», Iran and Israel announced a halt to attacks on each other. Iran declared it was suspending military operations against Israel but warned of a «crushing response» if Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon continued. Oil prices reacted instantly: Brent and WTI plunged more than 4–5%, hitting seven‑week lows.

But the respite was short‑lived. On June 10, Trump claimed that Iran had shot down a US Army Apache helicopter in the Strait of Hormuz and promised retaliation. The US launched «self‑defense» strikes on Iranian targets. Brent rebounded from $91 to $92 per barrel, WTI to $88–89.

Analysis: The ceasefire proved fragile – hostilities have resumed. Oil remains highly volatile; any change in rhetoric or actual strikes instantly moves prices 3–5%. The Strait of Hormuz factor continues to dominate.

#### 🛢 Oil: Two‑day rollercoaster
On June 9, oil fell sharply on news of a ceasefire. Brent traded around $90.85–91.45, WTI $87.59–88.20. The drop was about 4–5% in one day.

On June 10, following US retaliatory strikes, Brent returned to around $92, WTI to $88–89. A temporary drop below the 100‑day moving average was recorded for the first time since January, which technical analysts call a bearish signal.

Analysis: The market is pricing in not only current hostilities but also the risk of all‑out war with a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. US oil inventories have been declining for eight consecutive weeks. Chinese imports fell 29% – the lowest in eight years – capping upside. Anticipation of Friday’s SpaceX IPO adds another layer of uncertainty.

#### 🇪🇺 European Union: 21st sanctions package targets crypto services
As part of its 21st sanctions package, the EU intends to target crypto services from third countries that help Russia circumvent restrictions. This is a direct signal to all non‑friendly jurisdictions: any crypto exchange or exchanger facilitating sanctions evasion will face blocking measures.

#### 🇷🇺 Russia: Ruble strengthens, markets fall
On June 9, the ruble strengthened sharply against the dollar and euro. The Central Bank set the official dollar rate for June 10 at 71.73 rubles (1.53 rubles lower), the euro at 82.78 rubles (2.5 rubles lower). The yuan fell from 10.78 to 10.58 rubles. High oil prices amid the Hormuz crisis support the Russian currency, boosting export revenues.

The MOEX index closed at 2,523 points on June 9 – the lowest since October 2025.

On June 19, the Central Bank will decide on the key rate. Experts expect a 50 basis point cut to 14%.

#### 🇷🇺 State Duma: Caps on bank cards and crypto‑exchange withholding tax
The Russian State Duma passed a law limiting the number of bank cards per person to 20. Banks will also have the right to block or restrict suspicious payments. At the same time, Russia plans to require crypto exchangers to automatically withhold personal income tax (NDFL) from clients, similar to what is already planned for brokers and other market participants. This significantly tightens control over crypto turnover inside the country.

#### 🇷🇺 Ministry of Finance: Experiment with non‑custodial wallets possible
The Russian Ministry of Finance has said that an experiment with non‑custodial crypto wallets could be launched after the adoption of the crypto market regulation law. This is only a hint of possible relief; no precise parameters have been announced.

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### ₿ Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies

#### 📉 Bitcoin: Drop, panic, and attempted stabilization
The crypto market experienced two extremely volatile days. On June 9, bitcoin fell to an intraday low of $60,892 after Trump’s statement about a military response to Iran. The weekly decline was about 14%, with BTC trading around $61,813. Reliable sources confirmed over $664 million in liquidations in the last 24 hours.
According to Wintermute, the main reason for the drop was not Strategy’s sale, but systematic institutional investor outflows from the US and spot bitcoin ETF outflows, which totaled about $2.97 billion over 10 trading days (with $1.72 billion in net outflows last week alone). Institutional investors dominate selling, while retail capital continues to flow into US stocks.

By June 10, bitcoin attempted to stabilize, recovering above $62,000–63,000, partly driven by news of Strategy resuming purchases.

#### 📊 Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin pressured not by weak demand but by AI boom
BitMEX co‑founder Arthur Hayes believes that bitcoin is not suffering from weak demand but from the AI boom. Big money is flowing into AI companies, infrastructure, and future IPOs, so liquidity reaches crypto much less effectively. This explains why even positive bitcoin news fails to generate the same enthusiasm.

#### 🐋 Strategy: «Sold – bought – sold?»
On June 9, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) found itself at the center of a drama. Earlier it had sold 32 BTC for the first time since 2022, causing panic. Then almost immediately it bought back 1,550 BTC for about $101 million at an average price of $65,161–65,332. This increased its holdings to 845,256 BTC, and its cash reserves reached $1 billion.

However, on June 10, media reported that Strategy had sold 1,409,600 MSTR shares between June 1 and 7, raising about $181 million and using part of the proceeds to buy BTC. Strategy’s own shares collapsed 24% over the past week – the worst week since November 2022. Analysts warn that the market is becoming too dependent on Strategy’s purchases, and dividend payments on STRC preferred shares (11.5% annually) could trigger further sales.

Analysis: The «never sell» narrative has finally been destroyed. Strategy’s actions resemble market‑making games during a market decline rather than confident accumulation.

#### 🪙 Ethereum: Under pressure
Ethereum fell to $1,660–1,670 but held up better than most altcoins. Analysts still see a risk of falling to $1,500, below which the asset could enter a «dive into the unknown».

#### 🐋 Large moves and investigations
– New FUD about Strategy – explanation from a Chinese miner: The head of BTCTOP, Jiang Zhuoer, refuted rumors that Strategy would become a forced seller. He noted that the company’s debt is only 5% of assets, and even if bitcoin falls to $30,000, that ratio would only rise to 10%. The limited sale of old BTC is needed to demonstrate profit and pay STRC dividends.
– Whale played the crash: One holder sold ETH, wstETH, and WBTC for nearly $190 million before the drop, then bought back cheaper after the crash, locking in profits.
– ETF outflows continue: About $5.4 billion has been withdrawn from bitcoin ETFs over four weeks, including $2.97 billion over 10 days. Many are underwater, and institutional investors prefer to avoid risk.

#### 🧪 Circle launches cirBTC – wrapped BTC for institutional DeFi
Circle, the issuer of USDC, launched cirBTC, a wrapped bitcoin for institutional DeFi. This could attract institutional capital to bitcoin‑based DeFi protocols, though the effect remains limited in current market conditions.

#### 🇷🇺 Russian authorities plan to restrict non‑qualified investors’ access to some cryptocurrencies
Russian authorities intend to limit non‑qualified investors’ access to cryptocurrencies deemed risky. This is part of a broader trend to protect retail investors from highly volatile assets.

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### 🚀 Technology and AI

#### 🏛 AI giant IPOs: The trillion‑dollar race
OpenAI and Anthropic are racing for records. On June 9, OpenAI officially filed for an IPO in the US – the listing itself could take place in the autumn. The company is targeting a valuation of $852 billion (by some rumors, up to $1 trillion). Anthropic has already confidentially filed, aiming for October 2026, with a valuation soaring to $965 billion. Both companies remain unprofitable: OpenAI burned $8 billion in cash in 2025 on revenue of $13.1 billion; Anthropic’s loss is expected through 2027.
At the same time, SpaceX is preparing a record IPO of $75 billion at $135 per share, with a valuation of about $1.75 trillion, despite a $4.94 billion loss in 2025. Investors have submitted $150 billion in orders – demand twice the supply. Retail investor participation (up to 30% of shares) will be a test for the market.

Skeptical voices are already emerging: Morningstar values SpaceX at only $63 per share (a 53% discount to the IPO price), and Douglas Kass’s fund announced plans to short the stock. Nevertheless, giant contracts with Google ($9.2 billion per month) and Anthropic provide confidence.

#### 🤖 Anthropic releases public model Fable
Anthropic introduced Fable – a lightweight AI model based on Claude Mythos. Fable is designed for faster, cheaper deployment in resource‑constrained applications, expanding AI accessibility for small and medium businesses.

#### 🧠 Battle for talent: H‑1B visas on the rise
OpenAI, Anthropic, and Nvidia are sharply increasing H‑1B visa applications amid layoffs at Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Google. Anthropic jumped from 10 to 59 applications in one year, OpenAI from 20 to 63, Nvidia from 641 to 765. At the same time, Apollo and Blackstone are financing Anthropic’s expansion with $35 billion and Broadcom.

#### 💡 Nvidia and data centers: On course for dominance
Nvidia continues to grow its influence: the company supports OpenAI’s plans to lease a 10‑gigawatt data center in Ohio for 20 years. That would become the largest AI campus in the world. Nvidia itself has released the open‑source Nemotron 3 Ultra model, which allows deploying hundreds of low‑cost AI agents.

#### 🛰 SpaceX unveils first AI satellite
SpaceX demonstrated its first AI satellite, which will become part of orbital data centers for computing directly in space. This opens the door to decentralized space computing and could transform the satellite services and data processing markets.

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### 🏦 Finance and Investments

#### 📉 Markets searching for balance
US stocks showed sharp, divergent moves. On June 9, the S&P 500 closed at 7,386.65 (-0.26%), Nasdaq at 25,678.82 (-0.97%) as investors took profits in chips after three days of gains. Chinese oil imports fell to an eight‑year low, adding to the cautious backdrop.

The 10‑year Treasury yield rose to 4.55% after strong labor market data: 172,000 jobs added in May versus a forecast of 80,000. Inflation expectations remain high – May CPI, due June 10, could reach 4%.

The Fed meets on June 16–17, and ahead of that, more voices (including Kansas City Fed President Schmid) are calling for rate hikes to fight inflation, which has been above the 2% target for five years. Schmid suggested a hike of «a quarter or two».

#### 🏦 Revolut valued at $115 billion
The British neobank is conducting a $750 million secondary share sale, raising its valuation to $115 billion (a 53% increase in six months). The company finally received a UK banking license in March, has 65 million users and 63.8 million customers, revenue of $6 billion, and profit of $2.3 billion. Revolut became Europe’s first «centicorn» (a startup worth over $100 billion). An IPO is not expected before 2028.

#### 📉 Google faces antitrust risks
The EU launched a new investigation into Google’s AI services, suspecting abuse of a dominant position in search. In the US, a court banned exclusive distribution contracts for Search, Chrome, Assistant, and Gemini, required sharing of search and user interaction data, and extended the ban to GenAI technologies. The DOJ is appealing, demanding forced divestiture of assets.

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### 🔐 Cybersecurity and Incidents
#### 🐛 Miasma worm: AI worm attacks Microsoft and GitHub
One of the largest incidents of the year unfolded. The Miasma virus infected 73 Microsoft repositories (including Azure Functions and Durable Task), injecting malicious code via Red Hat npm packages. The malware activates when infected code is opened in AI tools: Claude Code, Gemini CLI, Cursor, VS Code. It then steals developer credentials and cloud environment keys (Azure, AWS, Google Cloud), spreading like a worm.

Microsoft has already shut down the infected repositories, but an unknown attacker released Miasma’s source code into the open on June 9, sharply raising the risk of derivative attacks. The virus uses per‑infection custom encryption to evade signature detection and can survive token rotation.

Analysis: This is the first real autonomous AI worm capable of spreading and making decisions on its own. The era of «cyber‑pandemics» has begun, where defensive systems struggle against adaptive AI attacks.

#### ☠️ Hackers breach Humanity Protocol – $32 million loss
Attackers breached Humanity Protocol, causing $32 million in damages. Details of the attack have not been disclosed, but the incident highlights the vulnerability of even relatively new DeFi and identity protocols.

#### ☠️ Bot «Otloshka» hacked in MAX messenger
In the MAX messenger, attackers hacked the «Otloshka» bot, which had been granted admin rights for auto‑posting. Through it, they began spamming dozens of channels, risking the compromise of many popular groups.

#### 🛡 Other threats and investigations
Conceptual prototypes of AI worms using LLMs (including open‑weights) to generate attack logic on the fly are emerging. Reports are growing of a user losing $4.5 million in rETH after 13 wallets were hacked, allegedly due to malware that intercepted seed phrases and keys.

#### 🇨🇳 China continues crackdown on mining
Chinese authorities are tightening the crackdown on mining. The provinces of Xinjiang, Qinghai, and Yunnan were ordered to completely halt mining by June 9, and any project disguised as a data center must be shut down.

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## 📊 Summary of the two days (June 9–10)

### Positives (long‑term):
– Strategy bought back 1,550 BTC ($101 million), increasing holdings to 845,256 BTC.
– OpenAI officially filed for an IPO; Anthropic filed confidentially.
– Nvidia created the powerful open‑source model Nemotron 3 Ultra.
– Revolut reached a $115 billion valuation, becoming Europe’s first centicorn.
– AI companies are ramping up H‑1B hiring despite tighter rules.
– Demand for SpaceX’s IPO double the supply ($150 billion in orders).
– SpaceX unveiled its first AI satellite for orbital data centers.
– Anthropic released lightweight model Fable.

### Negatives (short‑ and medium‑term):
– Geopolitics back in focus – from ceasefire to new US strikes on Iran.
– BTC tested $60,892; ETF outflows reached $5.4 billion in a month.
– MSTR shares collapsed 24% in a week – worst since November 2022.
– Fear of potential Fed rate hikes pressures risky assets.
– MOEX index fell to 2,523 points – lowest since October 2025.
– Miasma AI worm attacked 73 Microsoft repositories; source code leaked.
– AI IPOs may face cooling; markets price in high risks.
– China tightens mining crackdown with new provincial restrictions.
– Humanity Protocol hack for $32 million – another major DeFi incident.
– Russian State Duma limits bank cards and prepares crypto‑exchange withholding tax.
– EU’s 21st sanctions package targets crypto services in third countries aiding Russia.

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## Architectural conclusion
– Receiving intelligence tracks the «ceasefire → new strike» pattern, avalanche‑like ETF outflows, the first effective AI worm, and two major hacks (Humanity Protocol, Otloshka bot).
– Coordinating intelligence is unable to maintain a fragile ceasefire – the conflict returns with new force; regulators in Russia and the EU tighten crypto controls.
– Structuring intelligence continues building the future: trillion‑dollar AI IPOs, giant data centers, AI worms, AI satellites, and new financing forms.
– Executing intelligence recorded record liquidations ($664 million in a day), ETF outflows, MOEX decline, while simultaneously approving Revolut’s $115 billion and SpaceX’s $1.75 trillion valuations.

What’s next?
Expect peak volatility on Friday, June 12 – the day of the SpaceX IPO. Investors will watch how the market absorbs the largest listing in history amid renewed hostilities and expected hawkish signals from the Fed. Bitcoin is testing the $60,000–63,000 zone for support. Keep capital in liquid forms, avoid margin trading. The era of «digital gold» is giving way to the era of «digital weapons» – literally.